Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 30.940266 35.629279 40.695040 46.562821 53.160190 60.336170 68.719487
2024-12-29 23.596828 30.257162 38.130726 48.066131 60.204140 74.482002 92.473416
2025-01-05 19.622595 27.392068 37.245241 50.519096 67.775004 89.272671 117.879527
2025-01-12 15.642144 23.542933 34.199030 49.387017 70.198623 97.398586 135.254562
2025-01-19 12.406142 20.015583 30.872535 47.151920 70.525168 102.381121 148.471662
2025-01-26 11.350810 19.384038 31.380596 50.114311 78.023034 117.328461 175.932827
2025-02-02 10.830680 19.444264 32.830168 54.479762 87.766930 135.968001 209.675578
2025-02-09 9.605768 18.168000 32.033921 55.280373 92.186323 147.142818 233.330085
2025-02-16 8.411691 16.747020 30.799898 55.192766 95.125546 156.190056 254.265969
2025-02-23 7.324147 15.337085 29.388294 54.612138 97.138368 163.833227 273.392278
2025-03-02 6.446873 14.172818 28.239803 54.308887 99.491420 172.041305 293.731312
2025-03-09 5.790235 13.327629 27.543818 54.680819 102.928055 182.088668 317.414593
2025-03-16 4.736620 11.562506 25.026064 51.700802 100.656618 183.153239 327.517588
2025-03-23 4.344002 11.126401 24.998946 53.318308 106.624326 198.368507 361.893383
2025-03-30 4.100307 10.975793 25.511692 55.997766 114.699269 217.649171 404.162920
2025-04-06 3.519109 9.946184 24.094994 54.757223 115.432118 224.264838 425.297292
2025-04-13 2.926540 8.768157 22.193554 52.309383 113.626992 226.210002 438.370997
2025-04-20 2.836818 8.834891 23.016233 55.553073 123.036968 248.820970 488.921769
2025-04-27 2.852721 9.180674 24.503533 60.329305 135.788625 278.205357 552.955871
2025-05-04 2.607597 8.775947 24.203957 61.204787 140.765167 293.444121 592.177562
2025-05-11 2.332706 8.232776 23.501987 61.108993 143.726408 305.025150 625.240815
2025-05-18 2.062344 7.645228 22.608556 60.474068 145.484680 314.356420 654.520976
2025-05-25 1.838865 7.151709 21.882476 60.142428 147.836975 324.930331 686.600304